Campaign Cacophony

Posted on March 27th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid, Election 2008, Media by Alex Kuzio

It’s March 27. The Democratic race is still stretching on, and apparently, no end is in sight. Every day, at nearly any given moment, the twenty-four hour news networks are covering and recovering the election. They are analyzing every detail of the campaign, ripping through the obfuscation to shed light on the inner thoughts, motivations, intentions and personalities of the candidates. Pundits can tell you why this candidate wore a red tie instead of a blue one. Seconds after the Obama speech dealing with race in America, a Fox news pundit turned to the camera and explained that the candidate was using a teleprompter, “and not very well,” he added. Through this and other similar, penetrating commentary, we can expect to be enlightened; to suddenly, with the help of acute television personalities, see through the façade of campaign politics and focus on the heart of the matter.

We are familiar enough with the following scenario. Two candidates stand (or sit) on a stage. Behind them is a radiant, three storied backdrop emanating red, white and blue, and a three or five letter acronym (CNN, MSNBC). In the studio, the networks are tracking public response in real-time. One candidate punches out a particularly catchy phrase and their ratings begin a rapid ascent, only to level off and fall when his or her opponent responds with an even wittier remark. Pundits wait in the wing, taking notes on the candidates’ postures, the tone of their voice. Did he get a little too angry with that last comment? Why does he keep blinking so much? They are listening closely, predicting with complete certainty that this line will go great with the Latino community, while that last one is really going to appeal to white single mothers.

The debate ends and the candidates shower each other with warm praises and smile for their photo-op; best friends even after two hours of vicious assaults. Coverage moves to the so called ‘spin room’ where each campaign knows for sure that their candidate, in fact, won the debate. There is not so much certainty back in the studio. A fresh debate emerges between warring factions of well groomed pundits, each of whom has detailed, factual reasons why they know who the real winner is. Polls flash onto the screen, showing that voters in this state are leaning towards one candidate, although their African American support could be greater. The moments deemed most significant are replayed, and panels begin anew, dissecting each syllable, each ebb and flow of diction and whether or not the crowd applauded vigorously enough.

The next day the campaigns are back on the trail. The pledges they made the night before vowing to keep the politics clean have faded into history, and all for the better. A candidate tells a group of citizens at a town hall meeting that they have more foreign policy experience than their opponent does. Across the state or country, the other fires back within minutes, redefining experience and sending thousands of emails detailing their record. The blogosphere explodes in outrage when a pivotal word is misused, because behind it lie treacherous intentions. New polls are taken.

The constant buzz of non-stop opinion, ceaseless commentary and back-and-forth campaign slights has marked this election cycle like none before it. That is not to say that there are any fundamental differences between the way these campaigns have been functioning and the way all campaigns have operated for the last few decades. But the level of noise has risen to its all time high.

Rigorous debate is one of the hallmarks of a functioning democracy. Without it, the public becomes lulled into a catatonic state of thoughtlessness, and the official, state sponsored position becomes the only position. But there is a difference between debate and overwhelming cacophony.

When you go to the symphony, dressed in your best attire and excited for the incredible music you are about to hear, you will be angered if the musicians take their seats and play imaginary instruments, filling the concert hall with silence. But you will be as equally dissatisfied if three separate orchestras crowd the stage, one plays Beethoven, another plays Bach and the third opts for Tchaikovsky, all simultaneously.

So it is with political campaigning in modern America. Insight is discouragingly rare because in order to be heard, everyone has to shout. Even the short lived moments filled with genuine vision and maybe even a touch of beauty, as many of us saw in the Obama speech, are quickly turned into sound bites. Those parts of the speech that seemed the most controversial are played in isolation, made to represent its entirety. This site posted the speech in full, with no meaningless commentary, the way it should be. Let the words speak for themselves.

Who is to blame for this mess? Is it the all day media, who, in search for ratings, have turned politics into day-time soap opera? Maybe. Is it the blogosphere and the internet in general, this humble site included, that has flooded the public consciousness with so much information, so much opinion that all facts become confused, all simple actions complicated? Possibly. Could it be the candidates themselves, who have, instead of digging deeper, made themselves comfortable with superficial attacks and subsequent retorts that play easily to a busy and sometimes fickle public? Perhaps.

More likely, it is the combination of all these factors. Advances in technology like cell phones, blackberries, RSS feeds and Wikipedia have trained us all to expect instant information, all the time, with no barriers. My generation, more so than those before it, is often uncomfortable if we are even momentarily cut off from the outside world, whether from events in the middle east or the Facebook status of our friends.

For the next few days, I am engaging myself in an experiment. Although I cannot promise to stay away from Facebook or AIM, I am not going to watch any twenty-four hour news reporting. I will stay away from the blogs I typically read a few times a week or even daily. The emails I get every single day from the three remaining candidacies shall go unopened. My only source of political information will be newspapers or their online equivalents. It will be an experiment in pre-television, pre-internet political thought. Who knows what revelations will descend unto me once the volume has been turned down, the shouting quieted? I will stifle the cacophony, and let the orchestra play as it was meant to be.

tvoff

The Power Of Nightmares

Posted on February 10th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid by Alex Kuzio

Give Your Brain a Holiday

Posted on January 25th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid, Election 2008 by lmr

Admittedly, some of us actually enjoy deciphering what any given candidate’s platform is.  Unfortunately, as many of my colleagues have astutely pointed out on this site, that is getting more and more difficult to do due to the media’s constant spin. In this time of constant media bombardment sometimes it’s nice just to let someone else think for you.  So take a break from figuring out who your candidate should be:

http://www.gotoquiz.com/candidates/2008-quiz.html

Hey it’s got to be slightly more valid then picking your candidate based on whether or not they cry in public…right?

A future Without Diplomacy

Posted on January 23rd, 2008 in liberalcollegekid by Eichelle

After reading a CNN article about the Colombian hostages who returned to their families recently, I am pondering. The same president who embraced the hostages upon their return is calling for the organization which held them for six years and another similar to it be taken off of the “European Union’s list of terrorist organizations.” This organization, the FARC, according to the Colombian government holds approximately “750 hostages…” The reasoning behind Chavez’s call for removal is that he feels, according to the article, “…the two groups were only on the European list because of U.S. pressure.” With the pending elections coming I am wondering, can any one candidate truly heal our America? When I watch the news today or read articles, the world is a place where the greatest nation in the world is not taken seriously. If you look into the eyes many other country’s representatives when they are shaking hands with our representative, you can see it. The smile is not one of respect or admiration it is one of fear. Their eyes say if I step out of line are they going to come to my country and tell me what is best for my people with their M-16’s? The rest of the representatives, those that are not afraid, well they don’t meet with our representative. Our representative does not hear the voices of local Palestinians. I guess my main question is can any of the new representative possibilities really make those who have gone unheard for eight years feel they can trust us? Can this representative make the nations who fear we will try to occupy them feel relaxed around us? For it is my belief that only when this happens can true and honest diplomacy happen, without this diplomacy what does the true future hold of us?

The Best New Web Site of 2008

Posted on January 9th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid by Alex Kuzio

Big Think Logo Today a new web site was debuted, called Big Think (www.bigthink.com). I read about it in this article in the New York Times and was very fascinated with the idea. The site resembles other video sharing websites like the wildly popular YouTube, only instead of hosting videos featuring basically anything imaginable (from television clips to cinnamon swallowing challenges and stripteases), Big Think focuses on intellectual ideas and debate. The story behind the site’s creation is explained fully in the Times article linked above, so instead of focusing on its origins I want to share my first impressions.

From an ergonomic (or is the correct word here ‘usability’?) standpoint the site is great. It’s easy to navigate the pages and find what you are looking for. One video leads nicely to others that are either on the same subject or feature the same ‘expert’ (so far, it is mostly just expert videos, but this will change with time as user videos are added). Each video has a voting feature where you can choose “I agree,” “I’m neutral,” or “I disagree.” In addition, you can rate each clip on its value: whether or not you find the video interesting and/or relevant. The nicest aspect of these two features is that you can use them while the video is still playing without it stopping and without the browser opening up any new windows or taking you to another page (as long as you are signed in.) If you choose to vote, your name and picture (or avatar) may be displayed to the side of the window under whichever response you made. For example, I agreed with novelist and Yale law professor Stephen Carter on his views about the most important issues facing the legal system today. Once I voted, my name was listed among six others who had also concurred with Carter, above one person who did not. These are not the only way to respond to what you’ve just seen. You can make your own video or audio file and post it as a response; or, if you don’t have a camera or microphone you can simply respond with text. It’s even possible for you to begin your own line of questioning and debate by simply hitting the “Create an Idea” button and following the directions.

There are many categories from which to choose and search for clips. Broken into two broad divisions, “Meta” and “Physical,” (a nice play on words) the categories are as wide ranging as “Truth & Justice” and “Outlook & the Future” (both under meta) to “Economics” and “Philanthropy” (both physical). They are then further divided into sub-categories. “Arts & Culture” is broken down into “Architecture & Design,” “Art,” “Dance,” “Literature,” “Music,” and “Theater & Film.” These divisions make it simple to find specific material. Oh yeah, there’s a search and advanced search as well, for those who don’t like perusing to find content (I personally like to just skip around and see what I find). It will be interesting to see how well the integrity of these categories holds up as the site’s use increases. On YouTube and its competitors, I sometimes click on “Comedy” only to find clips that can hardly be referred to as funny or amusing.

Dennis Ross talking about the forces that shaped IsraelThe actual video clips are sleek and stylish looking. Again, once more users start uploading their own videos, the quality and crispness of the images will suffer, but the interviews and monologues recorded by Big Think itself are aesthetically pleasing for sure. Each clip begins and ends with the Big Think logo and a little bit of music; from what I can tell, they have a wide selection of music on the various videos, all of high quality. Instead of hearing the interviewers voice, the question is posed as text just before the expert gives his or her response. And unlike many traditional interviews, the interviewee is looking directly into the camera. These characteristics make the clips seem very intimate, as if you are being spoken to directly.

But all of these features and characteristics of the site are basically side notes. The real story is the idea itself: a website fully dedicated to the exchange of intellectual ideas and opinions using new media that has, in the past, been mostly the property of entertainment. Don’t get me wrong, I’m a big fan of sites like YouTube and College Humor. But I think others will sympathize with my desire for a more serious, intellectually oriented forum like Big Think to come along. I just spent a solid hour surfing around the site. I watched Dennis Kucinich talk about the inadequacies of the two-party political system and about how the government can be used to improve the chances of poor students getting into, and flourishing, in college. Dan Gilbert informed me about his work at the Psychology department at Harvard, where he is working on theories of happiness and affective forecasting. Pete Peterson, the former Secretary of Commerce, discussed for me the current state of American economics. Big Think has no single ideological message to propagate, featuring experts from all sides of an issue (notice I said all sides, not both), making it possibly the first completely open forum for ideas on the internet. The site has only been functioning for less than twenty four hours, and already there has been a large number of responses made, tons of opinions expressed. This is the kind of venture that the internet was truly created for, and I can hardly wait to see what becomes of Big Think.

A Slight Detour, to the Death Penalty

Posted on January 7th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid, Death Penalty by Jake Barnes

I thought it would be nice to take a break, if only a brief one, from talk about primaries and the upcoming election. I’ll blame the fact that I decided to write about a Supreme Court case on my law school withdrawals (which, fortunately or unfortunately, will end next week and will most likely mean another sabbatical from LCK) and hope that you don’t mind too much.

Today the Supreme Court heard a case involving the use of lethal injection in Kentucky. Specifically, the court heard the case of two inmates in Kentucky that are arguing that if the first drug in a three-drug cocktail isn’t administered completely or effectively then they will suffer excruciating pain, in violation of the Constitution’s prohibition on cruel and inhumane punishment, but will not be able to let anyone know they are suffering this horrendous pain because the second chemical administered paralyzes them. What the inmates are arguing is that the procedure itself is unconstitutional not that capital punishment in general violates the Constitution. However, even though the inmates aren’t challenging the legitimacy of the death penalty itself this case could have the largest impact on capital punishment since the reinstatement of the practice in 1976.

35 of the 36 states that have the death penalty in this country use the same three-drug cocktail that Kentucky uses. As soon as the Court granted certiorari to the case many states in the country suspended executions because they wanted to wait and see how the Court ruled on the case. If the Court were to deem the practice unconstitutional then states would forced to find a new way to administer lethal injections or shift to alternative means of executions (some of which, I’m speaking about the gas chamber in particular, have their own Constitutional problems) if they wished to continue executing prisoners.

The case comes at an interesting time as New Jersey recently abolished the death penalty and has urged other states to do the same. The idea that the lethal injection procedure could even be called into question in a Constitutional sense demonstrates just how much society’s views on the death penalty have changed as of late. We are living at a time when our nation (hopefully) is moving away from the barbaric days of old and towards a more civil and progressive era when we no longer allow a state to kill its citizens.

Obviously, I’m not a big fan of the death penalty. I’m not going to use this post to make every argument under the sun as to why it should be outlawed but I will ask the question (as Sweet Dee asked on It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia): why is it that those who are so against abortion are often so in favor of the death penalty? Anyway, now that I have that out of my system, on to what the Court will likely decide to do in this case.

This Supreme Court is split, generally, 5/4 with conservatives holding the decisive vote. However some of those conservative justices aren’t necessarily huge fans of the death penalty, meaning that they could be open to voting in favor of the inmates. This is 2008 though, and there’s a Presidential election just around the corner. The Court isn’t likely to want to make a big decision that would cripple, for a while at least, the death penalty in this country this close to an election because (for a slew of reasons, not the least of which are the facts that there are some justices ready to retire and that the Supreme Court hates to overrule itself unless absolutely must) it wants to see what the next four years likely have in store for the nation before making a big splash. Due to this fact the justices are likely to walk a fine line of sorts and say that, if administered properly, the three-drug cocktail does not pose an undue risk of pain, thereby skirting the issue of cruel and inhumane punishment.

This likely result saddens me because it would mean the justices are taking the easy way out. Instead of saying, in a stark and definitive manner, whether the current court would be inclined to repeal the death penalty or not, they would be using the particulars of the case to dodge the question. In order for another inmate to bring a suit (assuming the court rules in a manner similar to how I think it will rule) an inmate would need to argue that particular state has instituted a policy that does not protect against, or perhaps even encourages, an improper administration of the three-drug cocktail, thereby leading to cruel and unusual punishment. Getting a case like this to the Supreme Court would take somewhere around 10 years and even if it were successfully brought the Court’s ruling would really only impact on a single state (the state against which the hypothetical suit was brought) and all the Court could really do is say “make sure you execute people the right way”; it wouldn’t stop the state from killing people.

Hopefully everyone enjoyed this little diversion from Election ’08 mania, sorry if the topic was a bit of a downer.

Change (OR - What a Republican Taught Me About Barack Obama)

Posted on January 7th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid, Election 2008, Barack Obama by Jake Barnes

I was on a double date the other night. It went well, thanks for asking. I had never met the other guy on the date (he’s dating my girlfriend’s friend and she wanted our “approval” whatever that’s about). He’s a conservative Mormon attorney who graduated from UCLA law school last year and now works for the prosecutor’s office in the city I live in. Anyway he was a psych major as an undergrad and worked for a House Rep. in D.C. before going to law school, it was there (in D.C.) that he started paying attention to politics. I know you’re thinking “so what?” and I promise I’m going somewhere with this story.

We started talking about the vote in Iowa and he made an observation that made me realize exactly how Barack Obama is managing to soar in polls. My new acquaintance was talking about his friend (also conservative) who had taken classes under Obama when he taught law at the University of Chicago. When Obama was considering running his friend said that even though he is super conservative he’d vote for Obama because “he’s a genius.” Once Obama actually tossed his hat in the ring my new buddy actually thought, for a while at least, that he’d vote for him because Obama represented a fresh, new, invigorating energy in a stale political scene.

My double-date-partner then went on to tell me that he lost any sort of interest in Obama once he “actually started to listen to what Obama was saying.” In short my new pal said that Obama has no substance behind his rhetoric. While I don’t necessarily agree with him what he said demonstrated, in one of those “how did I not see this one earlier” sorts of moments, why Obama has taken off in literally the last week and a half.

Quick, what are the major platforms that the Democratic candidates are running on? Clinton: Healthcare, Edwards: Ending Poverty/Empowering the Working Man, Richardson: Foreign Policy Experience/Immigration. Now, what is Obama running on?

Change.

That’s it. Just, “Change.” It sounds so boring when talked about in a vacuum but when Obama goes on stage and talks about bringing Change to Washington crowds go nuts.

He’s done so well in fact that Mitt Romney, today, gave a speech in which he touted the need to bring Change to Washington (after the jump, at 11 seconds and more specifically starting at 1:13 with the Change quotes around 1:50) and even cited Obama as a sort of inspiration for the idea.

Obama has been able to surge past Clinton and Edwards in Iowa and now in New Hampshire because he’s promoting a platform that simply promises exactly what the American public wants. Instead of trying to rally support by outlining his stance of specific issues all Obama is saying is “I’m not Bush. I’ll be different.” This is why he was able to beat Clinton by eight points in Iowa and how he turned an almost double-digit deficit in New Hampshire into a double-digit lead. He’s been able to win the support of undecided voters who may not know exactly what they want in their next President but know that they want Change.

This isn’t to say that Obama hasn’t outlined his stance on certain issues or released policy papers. Rather, Obama hasn’t ran a campaign on one issue, instead he’s been content to simply say that whatever policies and stances he adopts will be new and different if he makes it to the White House. This is a weakness, in a sense, because it opens him up to attacks that claim he is too young, inexperienced, and doesn’t have any set goals he wants to work towards. However, so far these attacks have fallen of deaf ears in a country where the population knows one thing, and that one thing is that it’s fed up with where Bush has led the nation.

Should Obama be able to get the nomination from the Democratic party he’ll be forced to outline exactly how this Change he’s promising will be implemented because many of the Republican candidates are distancing themselves as much as possible from Bush. He won’t be able to claim that a vote for Huckabee, Romney, Rudy, or McCain is simply a vote for George W. Bush because the Republican candidates are also promising Change. But these candidates are also backing up these promises with policy proposals which they incorporate into their campaigns, as opposed to Obama’s almost singularly defined Change platform. For now though, simply promising Change is working pretty well for Barack Obama.

The Other Winner in Iowa… Why That Result Should be More Important to Democrats

Posted on January 4th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid, Liberal rants, Election 2008, Media, College, Barack Obama, Mike Huckabee by liberalcollegekid

Last nights historic election will be remembered for one reason: Obama. My intention here is not to demean him in any way, and the fact that the young voters came out like never before is also reassuring to me. However, there was another election last night in Iowa, one that seemingly no one is talking about…

<Get down Huck, go head get down>
Mike Huckabee won the Republican nomination by 9 percent. 9 PERCENT!! Huck carried 34% of the total vote leaving Mitt Romney, who had outspent Huckabee by millions of dollars in the dust. The Evangelical vote came out strong, with sixty percent of the GOP electorate in Iowa being born-again Christians. This is why the Republicans should be scared.

Mike Huckabee’s message is about change. He is an Evangelical minister who is not afraid to tell you his fix for immigration is to out law abortion, so that those babies will fill America’s demands for labor. He’s been outspent 15 to 1 in this campaign and he represents a dramatic turn for the Republican old guard. For more on the crazy be afraid of science kind of rhetoric go here.

As Howard Dean put it,

“Iowa caucus voters rejected the mainstream Republican frontrunners, and gave right-wing extremist Mike Huckabee a surprise victory in Iowa last night. He made a last minute surge - without money, and without staff - and has suddenly become a contender in the upcoming primaries.”

The Seattle Times wrote on the Republican results

“They [Republican insiders] realize that what happened Thursday in Iowa could be part of a national phenomenon favoring change, which scares the party now holding the White House. Iowa’s results also could reflect widespread GOP voter discontent, which could portend disastrously low.”

The Republican establishment should not like Huckabee. He’s not a pro-business conservative, he’s not especially pro-war, and he’s yet another Presidential candidate with hardly any foreign affairs experience.  While many on the right are trying to distance themselves from Bush he is still the current leader of the party.  Huckabee, while sharing Bush’s religious view points, would not put business interests ahead of domestic issues close to the hearts of born-again Christians.  This, however, is not what the Republicans need to be afraid of.

The lack of quality candidates is very likely to keep Republicans home come November.  This trend can already be seen just by looking at Iowa.  115,000 people showed up to cast their votes in the Republican caucuses in Iowa last night.  The Democrats had 239,000.  More than 100,000 more people showed up to the Democratic caucus then ever before… More than twice as many people voted in the Democratic caucus than in the Republican one. Iowa is not a state that is particularly blue… They are split almost exactly down the middle 50 - 50 just like the country at large.  This means that Iowa is a perfect model for voter efficacy come November and the national election.

Rejoice my liberal friends, rejoice.

Obama Wins, Huckabee Stomps Romney

Posted on January 4th, 2008 in liberalcollegekid, Election 2008, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton by Jake Barnes

In my last post I said that if Hillary Clinton were to win the Iowa Caucus by more than seven percentage points (something which I hoped wouldn’t happen) the race would be all but over. As it turns out Barack Obama was able to win by almost eight . . .

So what does this mean as the country now turns its attention towards the New Hampshire Primaries that occur just a few days from now? Look for Obama to make a run at placing first in New Hampshire as well, thereby seriously hamstringing the Clinton campaign. The most recent New York Times poll in New Hampshire has Clinton leading Obama by 12 points (38% to 26%) however these numbers are misleading. The poll was conducted between the 13th and 17th of December (almost half a month ago). Obama’s prospects in New Hampshire likely improved before his comfortable victory last night due to the media’s coverage of the race in Iowa as too close to call. After his win last night it’s all but assured that these inflated numbers for Obama received another boost of 2-4 points putting him within striking distance of the Clinton camp, especially when the margin of error in the poll was +/- 5 points.

Obama could win in New Hampshire especially if he is able to continue his successful courting of independent voters. In Iowa Obama was able to rally the youth vote and was also able to secure the votes of on-the-fence Democrats. In New Hampshire independent voters can vote in either primary. Obama should be able to capitalize on his win in Iowa in order to swing a majority of this independent bloc his was next Tuesday.

If Clinton were to fall to Obama on her home turf her campaign would be in serious jeopardy. Finishing third (albeit a close third) in Iowa, a state she was supposed to win, looks bad enough but failing to win in New Hampshire, a state so close to her home state of New York, would look awful. While I doubt that she’d close up shop in the way that Joe Bidden and Chris Dodd did after their poor showing in Iowa, Clinton would be forced to go for broke in South Carolina. Hillary would have to win in South Carolina (a state where as of December 17 Obama had a one point lead over Clinton) and hope that she could then parlay that victory into victories in a majority of the states voting on Super Tuesday.

All this being said, if Clinton is able to win convincingly in New Hampshire (which she still seems quite able to do) would bring us back to square one. Obama would likely win in South Carolina and Super Tuesday would then decide who the nominee for the Democrats would be. New York and California will almost certainly fall for Clinton leaving Obama on shaky ground. In short, New Hampshire could be the make or break state for both Obama and Clinton, this should be an interesting couple of days.

A few other reflections on the results from Iowa:

- Remember when I said Edwards could slide into an abyss never to be heard from again because he was courting tried and true Dems? Yeah, about that . . . sorry

- I had thought that Bill Richardson could make a legitimate run at 3rd place, I’m not sure I could have been more wrong on that front.

- Huckabee took Mitt out behind the woodshed and had his way with him. Beating Romney by almost 10 points in a state that Romney had worked for over a year and sank millions and millions of dollars into is a statement win for Huckabee. This victory has far less repercussions than the Obama win though because Huckabee’s base of Evangelical voters isn’t present in New Hampshire in numbers anywhere near those in Iowa. However, Huckabee does have an anti-tax message that voters in New Hampshire will be receptive too and perhaps the argument that Romney changes positions on the issues whenever it’s politically convenient will be enough to make for a close race next Tuesday on the GOP ticket.

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